Scenario analysis, trend extrapolation, and early-warning frameworks to anticipate the next phase of global instability.
The strategic landscape of the Korean Peninsula is defined by the adversarial relationship between the United States and the Democratic People's Republic of Korea (DPRK), with South Korea (ROK) and Japan serving as cruci...
The strategic decision of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) to renew the residence permit of a key Kinahan Cartel leader illustrates how sovereign states exploit regulatory autonomy to advance their national interests withi...
The rapid rise of prediction markets and decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms represents a new arena where sovereign states seek to assert control over capital flows and information aggregation. In this strategic space...
The polar regions represent critical front lines of expanding great power competition, with the Arctic and Antarctic governed by distinct institutional architectures that reflect underlying power balances. In the Arctic,...
The Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, represented by the authoritarian Maduro regime, acts as the primary state actor whose chief interest is maintaining domestic control and preventing regime collapse under the stress o...
The survival and operation of transnational criminal organizations (TCOs) within sovereign territories reflect the strategic calculations of states seeking to maximize economic depth and sovereign autonomy in an anarchic...
In the anarchic international system, the defense budget of a hegemon is the primary expression of its material capability and strategic intent. For the FY2017 defense budget request, the United States acts as the centra...
The strategic stability of modern states is fundamentally dependent on energy security, making the modernization of the electrical grid a core priority for national survival. In the United States, the federal government ...
The People's Republic of China, as a rising challenger in the international system, acts as the primary revisionist state actor promoting "Internet sovereignty" to consolidate domestic Communist Party control and counter...
Under the conditions of systemic anarchy, the United States remains the primary status quo state actor seeking to preserve its global hegemonic position against revisionist challenges from peer and near-peer competitors,...